SUCRA(さくら: Saitama University Cyber Repository of Academic Resources)は、埼玉大学に在籍する研究者の学術雑誌論文、紀要論文、科学研究費補助金成果報告書、学位論文、研究発表プレゼン資料などを登録し、広く世界に発信しています。 埼玉大学に在籍する皆様は、著作物をSUCRAを通じて発信することができます。詳しくは「成果物の登録方法」をご覧ください。
The use of cell phones is becoming increasingly widespread. Can news media accurately predict the results of election by surveys conducted through Random Digit Dialing to landline telephone only? This article compares data on election surveys conducted through RDD and exit polls. There are clear differences that are related to the voting behavior of youth. In addiction, RDD generates little response from young voters, and there is a steady decline in responses from middle-aged voters as well. Recently, temporal sequence surveys have been conducted during elections. Early surveys are found to possibly be affected by response order effects, although this does not seem to be the case with popular candidates.
東京都知事選挙の予測精度 : RDD調査と出口調査の比較〔報告〕
KY-AA12569705-07-09.pdf
(331.62KB)
SUCRAの概要
